Though the 2022 “red wave” that many have predicted has shown signs of slowing down, being able to match their previous margins in a potentially neutral national environment will still be an uphill battle.īut what complicates Texas Democrats’ hopes of the state turning purple is the changing politics of South Texas. To sustain the purple state argument, Texas Democrats will need to replicate or improve on these previous margins in the state’s elections this November to prove they can win in a national environment that isn’t a blue wave. It’s also important to note that while the statewide elections in 20 were remarkably close by Texas standards, they occurred during “blue wave” years during which Democrats performed well nationwide. By definition, a purple state is one where both parties have the ability to win. The symbols for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party. To truly be considered a purple state, Texas Democrats need to get over the hump and finally notch a statewide victory. There have been many close races since then, but Republicans have managed to win them all. While Democrats have narrowed the margins in recent years, they haven’t actually won statewide since 1994. By definition, a purple state is one that both parties can win in. However, even with these Democratic gains, Texas still hasn’t shown that it is a purple state yet. Biden also performed incredibly well in Greater Austin, winning Travis County with a staggering 71% and flipping long-time Republican Williamson and Hays counties into the Democratic column. Biden also reduced Trump’s margin of victory in suburban Collin and Denton counties to under 10%. Here, Biden won Dallas County with nearly 65% of the vote and narrowly won neighboring Tarrant County - the first time a Democrat has done so on the presidential level since 1964. Part of this was due to strong Democratic turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area. This was evident in the 2020 presidential election, where Joe Biden earned 46.48% of the vote, the highest percentage for a Democrat on the presidential level since 1976.
O’Rourke was also able to raise a whopping $80 million for his campaign, a record haul for a Texas Democrat.Īnother factor in the argument for Texas’ purple status is that Democrats have been continually making gains in the state’s metropolitan areas. Though Cruz won, O’Rourke’s 48.3% was the highest percentage of any Democrat in Texas since 1990. The closest race that year was a high-profile Senate election between Democratic Rep. Of the eight statewide races that year, Republicans won half of them by less than 5%. Despite Republicans winning every statewide election in 2018, the margin of victory for each race was less than 15% - anything over this mark is considered ‘safe’ by most pundits. What’s driving the belief that Texas is turning purple? Well, recent election results have shown that the state is not as red as it looks. While Texas is showing signs of moving in this direction, the lack of Democratic statewide wins and the shifting politics of South Texas show that Texas should not be viewed as a purple state just yet. But some political pundits and Democratic strategists believe that Texas is evolving into a purple state that will soon be a top battleground.
Republicans have dominated Texas politics since the 1990s, and the state is home to many key figures in GOP politics, including the late George H.W. Texas has been viewed for decades as a solid red state.
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